FC Siena face S. Trestina on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FC Siena a 47% chance, the draw 30% and S. Trestina 23%, so FC Siena are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for FC Siena and 1.0 for S. Trestina (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FC Siena are averaging 1.69 points per game versus 1.13 for S. Trestina. This match finished 4-4.
Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.69) > Away AVERAGE (1.13)