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Wegberg-Beeck vs VfL Vichttal Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Mittelrhein - 25 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 13:00

Wegberg-Beeck

PPG 1.83 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

VfL Vichttal

PPG 1.58 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.83), Away GOOD (1.58)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.5%0-14.4%0-23.7%0-32.1%0-4+1.3%1 1-05.0%1-18.5%1-27.3%1-34.2%1-4+2.6%2 2-04.9%2-18.4%2-27.2%2-34.1%2-4+2.6%3 3-03.2%3-15.5%3-24.7%3-32.7%3-4+1.7%4+ 4+-02.5%4+-14.2%4+-23.6%4+-32.0%4+-4+1.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.9% — — —

Draw 24.1% — — —

Away win 33.0% — — —

Over 2.5 71.0% — — —

Over 3.5 50.0% — — —

BTTS 71.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 76%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 20%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 56%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob71.7%

H 43% / xG 2.0-1.7 / O2.5 71% / BTTS 72%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.5%

#2 2–1 8.4%

#3 1–2 7.3%

#4 2–2 7.2%

#5 3–1✓ 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wegberg-Beeck2.0

VfL Vichttal1.7

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 71.0% · O3.5 PROB 50.0%

Form & verdict PPG

WEGBERG-BEECK · PPG 1.83

VFL VICHTTAL · PPG 1.58

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.83), Away GOOD (1.58)

Win probability 1X2

Wegberg-Beeck (H) 42.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

VfL Vichttal (A) 33.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Wegberg-Beeck face VfL Vichttal in Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wegberg-Beeck a 43% chance, the draw 24% and VfL Vichttal 33%, so Wegberg-Beeck are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Wegberg-Beeck and 1.7 for VfL Vichttal (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 72% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wegberg-Beeck are averaging 1.83 points per game versus 1.58 for VfL Vichttal. This match finished 3-1.

Wegberg-Beeck vs VfL Vichttal Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Match Preview & Prediction

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