Today / Egestorf L. vs Delmenhorst

Egestorf L. vs Delmenhorst Prediction

Sunday, May 3, 2026

Egestorf L.

PPG 2.15 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Delmenhorst

PPG 2.58 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home weakness: EXCELLENT (2.15) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.58)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.1%0-15.8%0-25.3%0-33.3%0-4+2.3%1 1-05.1%1-19.4%1-28.6%1-35.3%1-4+3.7%2 2-04.1%2-17.6%2-27.0%2-34.3%2-4+3.0%3 3-02.2%3-14.1%3-23.8%3-32.3%3-4+1.6%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-12.4%4+-22.2%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.7% — — —

Draw 25.1% — — —

Away win 42.2% — — —

Over 2.5 67.2% — — —

Over 3.5 45.5% — — —

BTTS 68.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 52%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob68.9%

A 42% / xG 1.6-1.8 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 69%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.4%

#2 1–2 8.6%

#3 2–1 7.6%

#4 2–2 7.0%

#5 0–2 5.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Egestorf L.1.6

Delmenhorst1.8

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.2% · O3.5 PROB 45.5%

Form & verdict PPG

EGESTORF L. · PPG 2.15

DELMENHORST · PPG 2.58

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: EXCELLENT (2.15) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.58)

Win probability 1X2

Egestorf L. (H) 32.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Delmenhorst (A) 42.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Egestorf L. face Delmenhorst on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Egestorf L. a 33% chance, the draw 25% and Delmenhorst 42%, so Delmenhorst are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Egestorf L. and 1.8 for Delmenhorst (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Egestorf L. are averaging 2.15 points per game versus 2.58 for Delmenhorst. This match finished 0-0.

Egestorf L. vs Delmenhorst Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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