Today / Vikingur B vs NSI Runavik B

Vikingur B vs NSI Runavik B Prediction

Sunday, May 3, 2026

Vikingur B
PPG 2.50 · HOME
2 – 1
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
NSI Runavik B
PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.7%0-13.5%0-22.3%0-31.0%0-4+0.5%1 1-06.1%1-18.1%1-25.4%1-32.4%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.0%2-19.3%2-26.2%2-32.7%2-4+1.2%3 3-05.4%3-17.2%3-24.7%3-32.1%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-05.3%4+-17.1%4+-24.7%4+-32.1%4+-4+0.9%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 58.0%
Draw 22.0%
Away win 20.0%
Over 2.5 70.2%
Over 3.5 49.0%
BTTS 67.3%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 67%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 2-1
xG (home)2.3 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob67.3%

H 58% / xG 2.3-1.3 / O2.5 70% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.1%
#2 2–1 9.3%
#3 3–1 7.2%
#4 2–0 7.0%
#5 2–2 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vikingur B2.3
NSI Runavik B1.3

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 70.2% · O3.5 PROB 49.0%

Form & verdict PPG

VIKINGUR B · PPG 2.50

NSI RUNAVIK B · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs P(Home)=58.0%

Win probability 1X2

Vikingur B (H) 58.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 22.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
NSI Runavik B (A) 20.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Vikingur B face NSI Runavik B on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vikingur B a 58% chance, the draw 22% and NSI Runavik B 20%, so Vikingur B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Vikingur B and 1.3 for NSI Runavik B (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vikingur B are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 1.50 for NSI Runavik B. This match finished 2-1.

PredictVantage

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