Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace Prediction & Tips

← Back to picks

England - Premier League Regular Season - 35 Vitality Stadium· Bournemouth Sunday, May 3, 2026 13:00

Bournemouth PPG 1.59

3-0 MISS

Crystal Palace PPG 1.44

Away· +56.5% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 40.4%

Odds: 1.59 EV: -35.8%

Draw 29.8%

Odds: 4.00 EV: +19.2%

Away 29.8%

Odds: 5.25 EV: +56.5%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 48.7% Odds: 1.67 -18.7%

Over 3.5 26.9% Odds: 2.70 -27.4%

BTTS 54.9% Odds: 1.70 -6.7%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Bournemouth

1.42

Crystal Palace

1.20

Model SuggestionBTTS -6.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -6.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+56.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 57 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5/Under 44%

BTTS/No 60%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -9.4%

Bet Hit 55% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.59), Away AVERAGE (1.44)