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Switzerland - Challenge League logo Switzerland flag Switzerland - Challenge League Regular Season - 33 Stade Municipal· Yverdon-les-Bains Sunday, May 3, 2026 12:00
Yverdon logo Yverdon PPG 2.00
3-5 MISS
Etoile Carouge logo Etoile Carouge PPG 1.13
Over2.5· -3.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 52.7%
Odds: 1.75 EV: -7.8%
Draw 25.8%
Odds: 3.60 EV: -7.1%
Away 21.5%
Odds: 3.95 EV: -15.1%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 57.8% Odds: 1.67 -3.5%
Over 3.5 35.4% Odds: 2.62 -7.2%
BTTS 59.0% Odds: 1.57 -7.4%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 2-0
4th 1-0
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Yverdon
1.86
Etoile Carouge
1.14

Model Suggestion

BTTS -7.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -7.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=52.7%

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