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Switzerland - Challenge League
Regular Season - 33
Stade Municipal· Yverdon-les-Bains
Sunday, May 3, 2026
12:00
Yverdon
PPG 2.00
3-5
MISS
Etoile Carouge
PPG 1.13
Over2.5· -3.5%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
52.7%
Odds: 1.75
EV: -7.8%
Draw
25.8%
Odds: 3.60
EV: -7.1%
Away
21.5%
Odds: 3.95
EV: -15.1%
Model lean:
BTTS
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
57.8%
Odds: 1.67
-3.5%
Over 3.5
35.4%
Odds: 2.62
-7.2%
BTTS
59.0%
Odds: 1.57
-7.4%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔
BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
2-1
✘
3rd
2-0
✘
4th
1-0
✘
5th
0-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Yverdon
1.86
Etoile Carouge
1.14
Model Suggestion
BTTS
-7.4%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans BTTS, but EV is -7.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=52.7%