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Switzerland - Challenge League logo Switzerland flag Switzerland - Challenge League Regular Season - 33 Stadio Comunale Bellinzona· Bellinzona Sunday, May 3, 2026 12:00
Bellinzona logo Bellinzona PPG 1.13
2-4 MISS
Rapperswil logo Rapperswil PPG 1.00
Away· +2.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 33.5%
Odds: 2.38 EV: -20.3%
Draw 27.6%
Odds: 3.35 EV: -7.5%
Away 39.0%
Odds: 2.62 EV: +2.2%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 57.8% Odds: 1.70 -1.7%
Over 3.5 35.4% Odds: 2.70 -4.4%
BTTS 62.1% Odds: 1.53 -5.0%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 2-1
4th 0-0
5th 2-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Bellinzona
1.44
Rapperswil
1.57

Model Suggestion

BTTS -5.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -5.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+2.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%
O2.5/Under 93%
BTTS/No 79%
Score Hit 39%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.13), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

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