Today / Carl Zeiss Jena vs BFC Dynamo

Carl Zeiss Jena vs BFC Dynamo Prediction

Sunday, May 3, 2026

Carl Zeiss Jena

PPG 2.40 · HOME

1 – 5

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

BFC Dynamo

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.40) vs P(Home)=56.2%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.4%0-15.5%0-22.8%0-31.0%0-4+0.3%1 1-010.3%1-110.5%1-25.4%1-31.8%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.7%2-19.9%2-25.1%2-31.7%2-4+0.5%3 3-06.1%3-16.3%3-23.2%3-31.1%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-04.5%4+-14.6%4+-22.3%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 56.2% — — —

Draw 25.4% — — —

Away win 18.5% — — —

Over 2.5 55.7% — — —

Over 3.5 33.4% — — —

BTTS 55.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 47%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-5

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob55.9%

H 56% / xG 1.9-1.0 / O2.5 56% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.5%

#2 2–1 9.9%

#3 2–0 9.7%

#4 1–0 10.3%

#5 0–0 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Carl Zeiss Jena1.9

BFC Dynamo1.0

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 55.7% · O3.5 PROB 33.4%

Form & verdict PPG

CARL ZEISS JENA · PPG 2.40

BFC DYNAMO · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.40) vs P(Home)=56.2%

Win probability 1X2

Carl Zeiss Jena (H) 56.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

BFC Dynamo (A) 18.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Carl Zeiss Jena face BFC Dynamo on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Carl Zeiss Jena a 56% chance, the draw 25% and BFC Dynamo 19%, so Carl Zeiss Jena are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Carl Zeiss Jena and 1.0 for BFC Dynamo (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Carl Zeiss Jena are averaging 2.40 points per game versus 1.00 for BFC Dynamo. This match finished 1-5.

Carl Zeiss Jena vs BFC Dynamo Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

More Football Predictions