Today / Shamakhi vs Sabah

Shamakhi vs Sabah Prediction

Sunday, May 3, 2026

Shamakhi
PPG 1.13 · HOME
0 – 3
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY
Sabah
PPG 2.57 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.57) vs Home AVERAGE (1.13)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.8%0-113.1%0-211.0%0-36.1%0-4+3.7%1 1-06.8%1-111.4%1-29.6%1-35.3%1-4+3.3%2 2-03.0%2-15.0%2-24.2%2-32.3%2-4+1.4%3 3-00.9%3-11.5%3-21.2%3-30.7%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.4%4+-20.3%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 17.7%
Draw 27.6%
Away win 54.6%
Over 2.5 46.8%
Over 3.5 25.2%
BTTS 49.0%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 3 29%CONFIDENCE
✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE
xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob49.0%

A 55% / xG 0.9-1.7 / O2.5 47% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.4%
#2 0–1 13.1%
#3 0–2 11.0%
#4 1–2 9.6%
#5 0–0 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Shamakhi0.9
Sabah1.7

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.8% · O3.5 PROB 25.2%

Form & verdict PPG

SHAMAKHI · PPG 1.13

SABAH · PPG 2.57

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.57) vs Home AVERAGE (1.13)

Win probability 1X2

Shamakhi (H) 17.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 27.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Sabah (A) 54.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Shamakhi face Sabah on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Shamakhi a 18% chance, the draw 28% and Sabah 55%, so Sabah are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Shamakhi and 1.7 for Sabah (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Shamakhi are averaging 1.13 points per game versus 2.57 for Sabah. This match finished 0-3.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

18+ only. PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Match dates and kick-off times come from third-party data and may change — confirm with official sources before betting. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. BeGambleAware.org