Today / Racing vs Huesca

Racing vs Huesca Prediction

Sunday, May 3, 2026

Racing

PPG 2.11 · HOME

4 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Huesca

PPG 0.44 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.0%0-14.4%0-22.4%0-30.9%0-4+0.3%1 1-08.5%1-19.3%1-25.1%1-31.8%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.1%2-19.9%2-25.4%2-32.0%2-4+0.7%3 3-06.4%3-17.0%3-23.8%3-31.4%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-05.6%4+-16.1%4+-23.3%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 59.6% — — —

Draw 23.1% — — —

Away win 17.3% — — —

Over 2.5 62.2% — — —

Over 3.5 40.0% — — —

BTTS 59.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-2

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob59.8%

H 60% / xG 2.1-1.1 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.3%

#2 2–1 9.9%

#3 2–0 9.1%

#4 1–0 8.5%

#5 3–1 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Racing2.1

Huesca1.1

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.2% · O3.5 PROB 40.0%

Form & verdict PPG

RACING · PPG 2.11

HUESCA · PPG 0.44

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.11) vs P(Home)=59.6%

Win probability 1X2

Racing (H) 59.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Huesca (A) 17.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Racing face Huesca on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Racing a 60% chance, the draw 23% and Huesca 17%, so Racing are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Racing and 1.1 for Huesca (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Racing are averaging 2.11 points per game versus 0.44 for Huesca. This match finished 4-2.

Racing vs Huesca Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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