Today / Tampines Rovers vs Lion City
Tampines Rovers vs Lion City Prediction
Sunday, May 3, 2026
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 3.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
A 50% / xG 1.6-2.2 / O2.5 72% / BTTS 72%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.4% · O3.5 PROB 51.7%
Form & verdict
TAMPINES ROVERS · PPG 2.43
LION CITY · PPG 2.78
Home weakness: EXCELLENT (2.43) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.78)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Tampines Rovers face Lion City on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tampines Rovers a 27% chance, the draw 23% and Lion City 50%, so Lion City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Tampines Rovers and 2.2 for Lion City (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 72% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tampines Rovers are averaging 2.43 points per game versus 2.78 for Lion City. This match finished 0-0.