Germany - 2. BundesligaRegular Season - 32Avnet-Arena· MagdeburgSunday, May 3, 202611:30
MagdeburgPPG 0.93
1-0MISS
Hertha BerlinPPG 1.87
Away· +33.0%🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
95% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home30.2%
Odds: 2.05EV: -38.1%
Draw26.9%
Odds: 3.80EV: +2.2%
Away42.9%
Odds: 3.10EV: +33.0%
Model lean: BTTSNot tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.559.6%Odds: 1.42-15.4%
Over 3.537.3%Odds: 2.05-23.5%
BTTS63.0%Odds: 1.36-14.3%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st1-1✘
2nd1-2✘
3rd2-1✘
4th0-2✘
5th2-2✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Magdeburg
1.40
Hertha Berlin
1.69
Model Suggestion
BTTS-14.3%NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -14.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet. Highest raw EV: Away (+33.0%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
95%
UPSET_VALUE
Away momentum: GOOD form (1.87) vs Home POOR (0.93)