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Germany - 2. Bundesliga logo Germany flag Germany - 2. Bundesliga Regular Season - 32 Avnet-Arena· Magdeburg Sunday, May 3, 2026 11:30
Magdeburg logo Magdeburg PPG 0.93
1-0 MISS
Hertha Berlin logo Hertha Berlin PPG 1.87
Away· +33.0% 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
95% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 30.2%
Odds: 2.05 EV: -38.1%
Draw 26.9%
Odds: 3.80 EV: +2.2%
Away 42.9%
Odds: 3.10 EV: +33.0%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.6% Odds: 1.42 -15.4%
Over 3.5 37.3% Odds: 2.05 -23.5%
BTTS 63.0% Odds: 1.36 -14.3%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 2-1
4th 0-2
5th 2-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Magdeburg
1.40
Hertha Berlin
1.69

Model Suggestion

BTTS -14.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -14.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+33.0%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
95%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.87) vs Home POOR (0.93)

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