Karlsruher SC vs Darmstadt Prediction— Germany - 2. Bundesliga

Germany - 2. Bundesliga Regular Season - 32 BBBank Wildpark· Karlsruhe Sunday, May 3, 2026 11:30

Karlsruher SC PPG 1.80

2-1 HIT CS3

Darmstadt PPG 1.07

Home· -0.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Karlsruher SC face Darmstadt in Germany - 2. Bundesliga on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Karlsruher SC a 36% chance, the draw 25% and Darmstadt 39%, so Darmstadt are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Karlsruher SC and 1.8 for Darmstadt (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 68% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Karlsruher SC are averaging 1.80 points per game versus 1.07 for Darmstadt. This match finished 2-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 35.5%

Odds: 2.80 EV: -0.6%

Draw 25.4%

Odds: 3.85 EV: -2.2%

Away 39.1%

Odds: 2.20 EV: -14.0%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 66.3% Odds: 1.44 -4.5%

Over 3.5 44.5% Odds: 2.10 -6.6%

BTTS 68.4% Odds: 1.36 -7.0%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✔

4th 2-2 ✘

5th 0-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Karlsruher SC

1.66

Darmstadt

1.75

Model SuggestionBTTS -7.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -7.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5/Under 56%

BTTS/No 59%

Score Hit 48%

ROI -47.1%

Bet Hit 33% (12 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.80) > Away AVERAGE (1.07)