Today / Germany - 2. Bundesliga / Hannover 96 vs Preuss. Munster

Hannover 96 vs Preuss. Munster Prediction— Germany - 2. Bundesliga

Regular Season - 32 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 11:30

Hannover 96

PPG 1.67 · HOME

3 – 3

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Preuss. Munster

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 56.3% vs bookmaker-implied 75.2%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.4%0-15.5%0-22.8%0-31.0%0-4+0.3%1 1-010.3%1-110.5%1-25.3%1-31.8%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.7%2-19.9%2-25.1%2-31.7%2-4+0.5%3 3-06.2%3-16.3%3-23.2%3-31.1%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-04.5%4+-14.6%4+-22.3%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 56.3% 75.2% 1.33 -25.1%

Draw 25.3% 20.0% 5.00 +26.5%

Away win 18.4% 12.2% 8.20 +50.9%

Over 2.5 55.8% 67.6% 1.48 -17.4%

Over 3.5 33.4% 46.5% 2.15 -28.2%

BTTS 55.9% 59.9% 1.67 -6.7%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 48%

ROI -12.4%

Bet Hit 59%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 47%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-3

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob55.9%

H 56% / xG 1.9-1.0 / O2.5 56% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.5%

#2 2–1 9.9%

#3 2–0 9.7%

#4 1–0 10.3%

#5 0–0 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hannover 961.9

Preuss. Munster1.0

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 55.8% · O3.5 PROB 33.4%

Form & verdict PPG

HANNOVER 96 · PPG 1.67

PREUSS. MUNSTER · PPG 0.80

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

80%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.67) vs P(Home)=56.3%

Win probability 1X2

Hannover 96 (H) 56.3%

ODDS 1.33 · IMPLIED 75.2% EV -25.1%

Draw 25.3%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV +26.5%

Preuss. Munster (A) 18.4%

ODDS 8.20 · IMPLIED 12.2% EV +50.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Hannover 96 face Preuss. Munster in Germany - 2. Bundesliga on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hannover 96 a 56% chance, the draw 25% and Preuss. Munster 18%, so Hannover 96 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Hannover 96 and 1.0 for Preuss. Munster (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hannover 96 are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 0.80 for Preuss. Munster. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +50.9%. This match finished 3-3.

Hannover 96 vs Preuss. Munster Prediction— Germany - 2. Bundesliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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