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AZ W PPG 0.78 
Heerenveen W PPG 0.89
AZ W vs Heerenveen W Prediction— Netherlands - Eredivisie Women
AZ W PPG 0.781-5 MISS
Heerenveen W PPG 0.89 ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence
Match Preview & Prediction
AZ W face Heerenveen W in Netherlands - Eredivisie Women on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives AZ W a 50% chance, the draw 22% and Heerenveen W 28%, so AZ W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for AZ W and 1.8 for Heerenveen W (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 78% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 76% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, AZ W are averaging 0.78 points per game versus 0.89 for Heerenveen W. This match finished 1-5.
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away
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Goals Markets
Over 2.5 78.3% Odds: — —
Over 3.5 59.5% Odds: — —
BTTS 76.4% Odds: — —
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-1 ✘
2nd 1-1 ✘
3rd 2-2 ✘
4th 3-1 ✘
5th 1-2 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
AZ W 2.36
Heerenveen W 1.79
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 25 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 76%
O2.5/Under 68%
BTTS/No 56%
Score Hit 56%
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
BALANCED 42%
Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.78), Away POOR (0.89)