A. Malagueno face Melilla on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives A. Malagueno a 31% chance, the draw 32% and Melilla 37%, so Melilla are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for A. Malagueno and 1.2 for Melilla (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, A. Malagueno are averaging 1.06 points per game versus 0.31 for Melilla. This match finished 3-3.
Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.06) > Away POOR (0.31)