Predict
Vantage
Today
Top Picks
Accuracy
Leagues
← Back to picks
Uruguay - Primera División - Apertura
Apertura - 12
Estadio Luis Franzini· Montevideo
Friday, April 17, 2026
23:00
Albion
PPG 1.17
6-1
MISS
Central Espanol
PPG 1.83
Away· +52.1%
🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
95% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
28.9%
Odds: 2.18
EV: -37.0%
Draw
25.8%
Odds: 3.00
EV: -22.6%
Away
45.4%
Odds: 3.35
EV: +52.1%
Model lean:
BTTS
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
48.6%
Odds: 2.45
+19.1%
Over 3.5
26.8%
Odds: 4.75
+27.3%
BTTS
52.4%
Odds: 2.00
+4.8%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘
BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
0-1
✘
3rd
1-2
✘
4th
1-0
✘
5th
0-2
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Albion
1.13
Central Espanol
1.49
Model Suggestion
BTTS
+4.8%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans BTTS, but EV is +4.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV:
Away (+52.1%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
95%
UPSET_VALUE
Away momentum: GOOD form (1.83) vs Home AVERAGE (1.17)