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Uruguay - Primera División - Apertura logo Uruguay flag Uruguay - Primera División - Apertura Apertura - 12 Estadio Luis Franzini· Montevideo Friday, April 17, 2026 23:00
Albion logo Albion PPG 1.17
6-1 MISS
Central Espanol logo Central Espanol PPG 1.83
Away· +52.1% 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
95% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 28.9%
Odds: 2.18 EV: -37.0%
Draw 25.8%
Odds: 3.00 EV: -22.6%
Away 45.4%
Odds: 3.35 EV: +52.1%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 48.6% Odds: 2.45 +19.1%
Over 3.5 26.8% Odds: 4.75 +27.3%
BTTS 52.4% Odds: 2.00 +4.8%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-1
3rd 1-2
4th 1-0
5th 0-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Albion
1.13
Central Espanol
1.49

Model Suggestion

BTTS +4.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is +4.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+52.1%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
95%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.83) vs Home AVERAGE (1.17)

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