Today / Espanyol B vs A. Baleares

Espanyol B vs A. Baleares Prediction

Sunday, May 3, 2026

Espanyol B

PPG 1.50 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

A. Baleares

PPG 1.44 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.6%0-112.2%0-27.0%0-32.7%0-4+1.0%1 1-011.6%1-113.3%1-27.7%1-32.9%1-4+1.1%2 2-06.3%2-17.3%2-24.2%2-31.6%2-4+0.6%3 3-02.3%3-12.7%3-21.5%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-10.9%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.3% — — —

Draw 32.8% — — —

Away win 35.0% — — —

Over 2.5 39.0% — — —

Over 3.5 19.0% — — —

BTTS 47.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 47%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob47.5%

D 33% / xG 1.1-1.2 / U2.5 39% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.3%

#2 0–0 10.6%

#3 0–1 12.2%

#4 1–0 11.6%

#5 1–2 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Espanyol B1.1

A. Baleares1.2

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 39.0% · O3.5 PROB 19.0%

Form & verdict PPG

ESPANYOL B · PPG 1.50

A. BALEARES · PPG 1.44

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away AVERAGE (1.44)

Win probability 1X2

Espanyol B (H) 32.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

A. Baleares (A) 35.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Espanyol B face A. Baleares on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Espanyol B a 32% chance, the draw 33% and A. Baleares 35%, so A. Baleares are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Espanyol B and 1.2 for A. Baleares (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Espanyol B are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.44 for A. Baleares. This match finished 0-2.

Espanyol B vs A. Baleares Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

More Football Predictions