Sarriana face Rayo Cantabria on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sarriana a 40% chance, the draw 28% and Rayo Cantabria 32%, so Sarriana are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Sarriana and 1.3 for Rayo Cantabria (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sarriana are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 1.00 for Rayo Cantabria. This match finished 3-4.
Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.56) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)