A. Lustenau vs Bregenz Prediction— Austria - 2. Liga

Austria - 2. Liga Regular Season - 28 Planet Pure Stadion· Lustenau Sunday, May 3, 2026 08:30

A. Lustenau PPG 2.15

2-0 HIT CS3

Bregenz PPG 0.46

Away· +21.1% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

80% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

A. Lustenau face Bregenz in Austria - 2. Liga on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives A. Lustenau a 60% chance, the draw 24% and Bregenz 17%, so A. Lustenau are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for A. Lustenau and 1.0 for Bregenz (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, A. Lustenau are averaging 2.15 points per game versus 0.46 for Bregenz. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +21.1%. This match finished 2-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 59.8%

Odds: 1.40 EV: -16.3%

Draw 23.5%

Odds: 4.20 EV: -1.3%

Away 16.7%

Odds: 7.25 EV: +21.1%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.0% Odds: 1.62 -2.8%

Over 3.5 37.7% Odds: 2.55 -3.9%

BTTS 57.8% Odds: 1.77 +2.3%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✔

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 3-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

A. Lustenau

2.07

Bregenz

1.03

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -2.8% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-2.8%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5/Under 53%

BTTS/No 59%

Score Hit 56%

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

80%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.15) vs P(Home)=59.8%