Today / Austria - 2. Liga / A. Klagenfurt vs Rapid Wien B

A. Klagenfurt vs Rapid Wien B Prediction— Austria - 2. Liga

Regular Season - 28 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 08:30

A. Klagenfurt logo
A. Klagenfurt
PPG 1.08 · HOME
2 – 1
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS
Rapid Wien B logo
Rapid Wien B
PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 56.5% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.7%0-18.6%0-25.5%0-32.3%0-4+1.0%1 1-09.6%1-112.2%1-27.8%1-33.3%1-4+1.4%2 2-06.8%2-18.7%2-25.5%2-32.4%2-4+1.0%3 3-03.2%3-14.1%3-22.6%3-31.1%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-12.0%4+-21.3%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 38.5% 44.4% 2.25 -13.4%
Draw 29.4% 29.0% 3.45 +1.4%
Away win 32.0% 35.1% 2.85 -8.8%
Over 2.5 50.5% 57.1% 1.75 -11.6%
Over 3.5 28.5% 35.1% 2.85 -18.8%
BTTS 56.5% 63.7% 1.57 -11.3%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%
O2.5 53%
BTTS 59%
Score Hit 56%
ROI -31.5%
Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 35%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 2-1
xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob56.5%

D 29% / xG 1.4-1.3 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.2%
#2 2–1 8.7%
#3 0–0 6.7%
#4 1–2 7.8%
#5 1–0 9.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

A. Klagenfurt1.4
Rapid Wien B1.3

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.5% · O3.5 PROB 28.5%

Form & verdict PPG

A. KLAGENFURT · PPG 1.08

RAPID WIEN B · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.08), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

A. Klagenfurt (H) 38.5%
ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -13.4%
Draw 29.4%
ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV +1.4%
Rapid Wien B (A) 32.0%
ODDS 2.85 · IMPLIED 35.1% EV -8.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

A. Klagenfurt face Rapid Wien B in Austria - 2. Liga on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives A. Klagenfurt a 39% chance, the draw 29% and Rapid Wien B 32%, so A. Klagenfurt are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for A. Klagenfurt and 1.3 for Rapid Wien B (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, A. Klagenfurt are averaging 1.08 points per game versus 1.00 for Rapid Wien B. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +1.4%. This match finished 2-1.

PredictVantage

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