Today / S. Sfida W vs VONDS Ichihara
S. Sfida W vs VONDS Ichihara Prediction
Sunday, May 3, 2026
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 4.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 78% / xG 3.4-1.2 / O2.5 83% / BTTS 67%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 4.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 83.0% · O3.5 PROB 66.3%
Form & verdict
S. SFIDA W · PPG 1.00
VONDS ICHIHARA · PPG 0.00
No PPG data
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
S. Sfida W face VONDS Ichihara on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives S. Sfida W a 78% chance, the draw 13% and VONDS Ichihara 9%, so S. Sfida W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.4 for S. Sfida W and 1.2 for VONDS Ichihara (4.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 83% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, S. Sfida W are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.00 for VONDS Ichihara.