Today / S. Hiroshima W vs Beleza W

S. Hiroshima W vs Beleza W Prediction

Sunday, May 3, 2026

S. Hiroshima W

PPG 1.80 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Beleza W

PPG 2.11 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home weakness: GOOD (1.80) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.11)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.2%0-19.4%0-27.2%0-33.6%0-4+1.9%1 1-07.8%1-111.9%1-29.0%1-34.6%1-4+2.4%2 2-04.9%2-17.5%2-25.7%2-32.9%2-4+1.5%3 3-02.1%3-13.1%3-22.4%3-31.2%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.3%4+-21.0%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 29.8% — — —

Draw 28.7% — — —

Away win 41.5% — — —

Over 2.5 52.5% — — —

Over 3.5 30.3% — — —

BTTS 57.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob57.7%

A 42% / xG 1.3-1.5 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.9%

#2 1–2 9.0%

#3 0–0 6.2%

#4 0–1 9.4%

#5 2–1 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

S. Hiroshima W1.3

Beleza W1.5

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.5% · O3.5 PROB 30.3%

Form & verdict PPG

S. HIROSHIMA W · PPG 1.80

BELEZA W · PPG 2.11

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: GOOD (1.80) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.11)

Win probability 1X2

S. Hiroshima W (H) 29.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Beleza W (A) 41.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

S. Hiroshima W face Beleza W on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives S. Hiroshima W a 30% chance, the draw 29% and Beleza W 42%, so Beleza W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for S. Hiroshima W and 1.5 for Beleza W (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, S. Hiroshima W are averaging 1.80 points per game versus 2.11 for Beleza W. This match finished 2-0.

S. Hiroshima W vs Beleza W Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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