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France - Ligue 1
Regular Season - 32
Allianz Riviera· Nice
Saturday, May 2, 2026
19:05
Nice
PPG 1.20
1-1
HIT MostLikelyScore
Lens
PPG 1.60
Draw· -0.2%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
22.4%
Odds: 4.35
EV: -2.6%
Draw
25.6%
Odds: 3.90
EV: -0.2%
Away
52.0%
Odds: 1.71
EV: -11.1%
Model lean:
BTTS
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
59.1%
Odds: 1.60
-5.4%
Over 3.5
36.7%
Odds: 2.45
-10.1%
BTTS
60.4%
Odds: 1.55
-6.4%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘
BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✔
2nd
1-2
✘
3rd
0-2
✘
4th
0-1
✘
5th
0-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Nice
1.19
Lens
1.88
Model Suggestion
BTTS
-6.4%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans BTTS, but EV is -6.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
League Track Record
↗
Based on 42 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc
41%
O2.5/Under
62%
BTTS/No
55%
Score Hit
36%
ROI
-18.0%
Bet Hit
50%
(16 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER
Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.20) vs Away GOOD (1.60)