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France - Ligue 1 logo France flag France - Ligue 1 Regular Season - 32 Allianz Riviera· Nice Saturday, May 2, 2026 19:05
Nice logo Nice PPG 1.20
1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
Lens logo Lens PPG 1.60
Draw· -0.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 22.4%
Odds: 4.35 EV: -2.6%
Draw 25.6%
Odds: 3.90 EV: -0.2%
Away 52.0%
Odds: 1.71 EV: -11.1%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.1% Odds: 1.60 -5.4%
Over 3.5 36.7% Odds: 2.45 -10.1%
BTTS 60.4% Odds: 1.55 -6.4%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 0-2
4th 0-1
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Nice
1.19
Lens
1.88

Model Suggestion

BTTS -6.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -6.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

League Track Record

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%
O2.5/Under 62%
BTTS/No 55%
Score Hit 36%
ROI -18.0%
Bet Hit 50% (16 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.20) vs Away GOOD (1.60)

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