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Germany - 2. Bundesliga logo Germany flag Germany - 2. Bundesliga Regular Season - 32 Veltins Arena· Gelsenkirchen Saturday, May 2, 2026 18:30
Schalke 04 logo Schalke 04 PPG 2.40
1-0 HIT CS2
Dusseldorf logo Dusseldorf PPG 0.87
Draw· +13.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 56.7%
Odds: 1.53 EV: -13.3%
Draw 26.9%
Odds: 4.20 EV: +13.0%
Away 16.4%
Odds: 5.40 EV: -11.4%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 47.3% Odds: 1.55 -26.7%
Over 3.5 25.6% Odds: 2.35 -39.8%
BTTS 48.4% Odds: 1.57 -24.0%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-0
3rd 2-0
4th 2-1
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Schalke 04
1.73
Dusseldorf
0.84

Model Suggestion

Home -13.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -13.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+13.0%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.40) vs P(Home)=56.7%

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