Germany - 2. BundesligaRegular Season - 32Veltins Arena· GelsenkirchenSaturday, May 2, 202618:30
Schalke 04PPG 2.40
1-0HIT CS2
DusseldorfPPG 0.87
Draw· +13.0%⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home56.7%
Odds: 1.53EV: -13.3%
Draw26.9%
Odds: 4.20EV: +13.0%
Away16.4%
Odds: 5.40EV: -11.4%
Model lean: HomeNot tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.547.3%Odds: 1.55-26.7%
Over 3.525.6%Odds: 2.35-39.8%
BTTS48.4%Odds: 1.57-24.0%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st1-1✘
2nd1-0✔
3rd2-0✘
4th2-1✘
5th0-0✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Schalke 04
1.73
Dusseldorf
0.84
Model Suggestion
Home-13.3%NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -13.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet. Highest raw EV: Draw (+13.0%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.40) vs P(Home)=56.7%