Metz vs Monaco Prediction & Tips

← Back to picks

France - Ligue 1 Regular Season - 32 Stade Saint-Symphorien· Metz Saturday, May 2, 2026 17:00

Metz PPG 0.67

1-2 HIT CS2

Monaco PPG 1.27

Home· +81.3% ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

90% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 24.5%

Odds: 7.40 EV: +81.3%

Draw 25.5%

Odds: 5.00 EV: +27.5%

Away 50.1%

Odds: 1.36 EV: -31.9%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.5% Odds: 1.35 -17.0%

Over 3.5 39.3% Odds: 1.85 -27.3%

BTTS 63.0% Odds: 1.50 -5.5%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✔

3rd 0-2 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 0-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Metz

1.29

Monaco

1.89

Model SuggestionBTTS -5.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -5.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+81.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

90%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.27) vs Home POOR (0.67)