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England - Premier League logo England flag England - Premier League Regular Season - 35 Emirates Stadium· London Saturday, May 2, 2026 16:30
Arsenal logo Arsenal PPG 2.41
3-0 MISS
Fulham logo Fulham PPG 0.94
Away· +14.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 58.5%
Odds: 1.43 EV: -16.4%
Draw 25.6%
Odds: 4.30 EV: +10.1%
Away 15.9%
Odds: 7.20 EV: +14.5%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 51.1% Odds: 1.85 -5.5%
Over 3.5 29.0% Odds: 3.20 -7.2%
BTTS 50.8% Odds: 2.05 +4.1%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-0
3rd 1-0
4th 2-1
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Arsenal
1.84
Fulham
0.88

Model Suggestion

Home -16.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -16.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+14.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.41) vs P(Home)=58.5%

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