Vaduz vs Lausanne Ouchy Prediction— Switzerland - Challenge League

Switzerland - Challenge League Regular Season - 33 Rheinpark Stadion· Vaduz Saturday, May 2, 2026 16:00

Vaduz PPG 2.88

2-2 MISS

Lausanne Ouchy PPG 1.25

Draw· -4.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Vaduz face Lausanne Ouchy in Switzerland - Challenge League on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vaduz a 57% chance, the draw 24% and Lausanne Ouchy 19%, so Vaduz are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Vaduz and 1.1 for Lausanne Ouchy (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vaduz are averaging 2.88 points per game versus 1.25 for Lausanne Ouchy. This match finished 2-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 56.9%

Odds: 1.62 EV: -7.8%

Draw 24.0%

Odds: 4.00 EV: -4.0%

Away 19.0%

Odds: 4.20 EV: -20.2%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.3% Odds: 1.50 -8.1%

Over 3.5 39.0% Odds: 2.30 -10.3%

BTTS 60.3% Odds: 1.53 -7.7%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 3-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Vaduz

2.04

Lausanne Ouchy

1.13

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -8.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -8.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.88) vs P(Home)=56.9%