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Gori vs Merani Martvili Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2

Regular Season - 10 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 15:00

Gori

PPG 1.50 · HOME

0 – 3

FULL TIME

Merani Martvili

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.3%0-113.1%0-26.9%0-32.5%0-4+0.8%1 1-012.7%1-113.5%1-27.2%1-32.5%1-4+0.8%2 2-06.6%2-17.0%2-23.7%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-02.3%3-12.4%3-21.3%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.8%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.2% — — —

Draw 34.1% — — —

Away win 33.7% — — —

Over 2.5 34.8% — — —

Over 3.5 16.0% — — —

BTTS 44.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 57%

ROI 1.5%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 58%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob44.1%

D 34% / xG 1.0-1.1 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.5%

#2 0–0 12.3%

#3 0–1 13.1%

#4 1–0 12.7%

#5 1–2 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gori1.0

Merani Martvili1.1

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.8% · O3.5 PROB 16.0%

Form & verdict PPG

GORI · PPG 1.50

MERANI MARTVILI · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away AVERAGE (1.25)

Win probability 1X2

Gori (H) 32.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 34.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Merani Martvili (A) 33.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Gori face Merani Martvili in Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2 on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gori a 32% chance, the draw 34% and Merani Martvili 34%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 1.0 for Gori and 1.1 for Merani Martvili (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gori are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.25 for Merani Martvili. This match finished 0-3.

Gori vs Merani Martvili Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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