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Legia Warsaw vs Zaglebie Lubin Prediction— Poland - Ekstraklasa

Poland - Ekstraklasa logo Poland flag Poland - Ekstraklasa Regular Season - 29 Stadion Wojska Polskiego· Warsaw Friday, April 17, 2026 18:30
Legia Warsaw logo Legia Warsaw PPG 1.50
1-0 MISS
Zaglebie Lubin logo Zaglebie Lubin PPG 1.29
Away· +167.8% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity
70% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Legia Warsaw face Zaglebie Lubin in Poland - Ekstraklasa on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Legia Warsaw a 24% chance, the draw 27% and Zaglebie Lubin 50%, so Zaglebie Lubin are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Legia Warsaw and 1.4 for Zaglebie Lubin (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Legia Warsaw are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.29 for Zaglebie Lubin. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +167.8%. This match finished 1-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 23.6%
Odds: 1.62 EV: -61.8%
Draw 26.8%
Odds: 3.75 EV: +0.5%
Away 49.6%
Odds: 5.40 EV: +167.8%
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 41.5% Odds: 1.95 -19.1%
Over 3.5 20.9% Odds: 3.40 -28.9%
BTTS 45.4% Odds: 1.93 -12.4%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-1
2nd 1-1
3rd 0-2
4th 0-0
5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Legia Warsaw
0.90
Zaglebie Lubin
1.44

Model Suggestion

No Bet ROI TRACKS: Away
Tracked ROI market: Away.

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity
70%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away AVERAGE (1.29)

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