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France - Ligue 1 Saturday, May 2, 2026 15:00 
Paris SG PPG 2.47 
Lorient PPG 0.73
France - Ligue 1 Saturday, May 2, 2026 15:00 Paris SG PPG 2.472-2 MISS
Lorient PPG 0.73Draw· +14.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
66% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 59.3% Odds: 1.42 -15.8%
Over 3.5 37.0% Odds: 2.00 -26.0%
BTTS 53.9% Odds: 1.62 -12.7%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-0 ✘
2nd 1-1 ✘
3rd 2-1 ✘
4th 1-0 ✘
5th 3-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Paris SG 2.18
Lorient 0.90
Model Suggestion
Home -13.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -13.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+14.4%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+14.4%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
STRONG_HOME 66%
Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.47), Away POOR (0.73) - Strong consensus