VfB Stuttgart B vs RW Essen Prediction & Tips

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Germany - 3. Liga Regular Season - 36 WIRmachenDRUCK Arena· Aspach Saturday, May 2, 2026 14:30

VfB Stuttgart B PPG 1.65

6-1 MISS

RW Essen PPG 1.59

Home· +15.3% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 33.9%

Odds: 3.40 EV: +15.3%

Draw 25.2%

Odds: 4.00 EV: +0.8%

Away 40.9%

Odds: 1.91 EV: -21.9%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 67.2% Odds: 1.42 -4.6%

Over 3.5 45.5% Odds: 2.05 -6.7%

BTTS 69.0% Odds: 1.38 -4.8%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 2-2 ✘

5th 0-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

VfB Stuttgart B

1.64

RW Essen

1.82

Model SuggestionBTTS -4.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -4.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+15.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5/Under 70%

BTTS/No 65%

Score Hit 30%

ROI 12.3%

Bet Hit 67% (12 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.65), Away GOOD (1.59)