Today / Austria Wien B vs A. Salzburg

Austria Wien B vs A. Salzburg Prediction

Regular Season - 26 ·Friday, April 17, 2026, 18:30

Austria Wien B

PPG 1.58 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

A. Salzburg

PPG 1.08 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.7%0-110.0%0-25.1%0-31.8%0-4+0.6%1 1-012.6%1-113.0%1-26.7%1-32.3%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.2%2-18.5%2-24.4%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-03.6%3-13.7%3-21.9%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-11.6%4+-20.8%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.9% — — —

Draw 27.8% — — —

Away win 29.4% — — —

Over 2.5 41.4% — — —

Over 3.5 20.8% — — —

BTTS 46.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 31%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob46.9%

H 43% / xG 1.3-1.0 / U2.5 41% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 13.0%

#2 1–0 12.6%

#3 0–1 10.0%

#4 0–0 9.7%

#5 2–1 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Austria Wien B1.3

A. Salzburg1.0

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 41.4% · O3.5 PROB 20.8%

Form & verdict PPG

AUSTRIA WIEN B · PPG 1.58

A. SALZBURG · PPG 1.08

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.58) > Away AVERAGE (1.08)

Win probability 1X2

Austria Wien B (H) 42.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

A. Salzburg (A) 29.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Austria Wien B face A. Salzburg on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Austria Wien B a 43% chance, the draw 28% and A. Salzburg 29%, so Austria Wien B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Austria Wien B and 1.0 for A. Salzburg (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Austria Wien B are averaging 1.58 points per game versus 1.08 for A. Salzburg. This match finished 1-1.

Austria Wien B vs A. Salzburg Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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