Today / Mohammedan vs Fakirerpool

Mohammedan vs Fakirerpool Prediction

Regular Season - 13 ·Friday, April 17, 2026, 09:30

Mohammedan logo
Mohammedan
PPG 1.50 · HOME
3 – 0
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS
Fakirerpool logo
Fakirerpool
PPG 0.83 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.50) > Away POOR (0.83)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.2%0-110.8%0-28.0%0-34.0%0-4+2.1%1 1-08.2%1-112.2%1-29.1%1-34.6%1-4+2.4%2 2-04.7%2-17.0%2-25.2%2-32.6%2-4+1.3%3 3-01.8%3-12.6%3-22.0%3-31.0%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-11.0%4+-20.7%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 28.9%
Draw 25.7%
Away win 45.4%
Over 2.5 48.9%
Over 3.5 27.1%
BTTS 52.7%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 25%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 3-0
xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob52.7%

A 45% / xG 1.1-1.5 / O2.5 49% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.2%
#2 0–1 10.8%
#3 1–2 9.1%
#4 1–0 8.2%
#5 0–2 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Mohammedan1.1
Fakirerpool1.5

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.9% · O3.5 PROB 27.1%

Form & verdict PPG

MOHAMMEDAN · PPG 1.50

FAKIRERPOOL · PPG 0.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.50) > Away POOR (0.83)

Win probability 1X2

Mohammedan (H) 28.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 25.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Fakirerpool (A) 45.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Mohammedan face Fakirerpool on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Mohammedan a 29% chance, the draw 26% and Fakirerpool 45%, so Fakirerpool are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Mohammedan and 1.5 for Fakirerpool (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Mohammedan are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.83 for Fakirerpool. This match finished 3-0.

PredictVantage

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