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Australia - Victoria NPL Friday, April 17, 2026 09:30 
Bentleigh G. PPG 3.00 
Preston Lions PPG 2.00
Australia - Victoria NPL Friday, April 17, 2026 09:30 Bentleigh G. PPG 3.001-1 HIT CS3
Preston Lions PPG 2.00Home· +29.3% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Result: Draw
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 38.8% Odds: 1.93 -25.1%
Over 3.5 18.8% Odds: 3.30 -38.0%
BTTS 44.9% Odds: 1.70 -23.7%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-0 ✘
2nd 1-1 ✔
3rd 0-0 ✘
4th 0-1 ✘
5th 2-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Bentleigh G. 1.24
Preston Lions 1.00
Model Suggestion
No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.
Verdict & Form
🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 95%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=41.7%