Today / Rahmatgonj vs Bashundhara K.

Rahmatgonj vs Bashundhara K. Prediction

Regular Season - 13 ·Friday, April 17, 2026, 09:30

Rahmatgonj

PPG 2.17 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Bashundhara K.

PPG 1.83 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.5%0-14.3%0-26.5%0-36.5%0-4+10.0%1 1-01.8%1-15.4%1-28.1%1-38.0%1-4+12.5%2 2-01.1%2-13.4%2-25.0%2-35.0%2-4+7.8%3 3-00.5%3-11.4%3-22.1%3-32.1%3-4+3.2%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.6%4+-20.9%4+-30.8%4+-4+1.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 12.9% — — —

Draw 14.5% — — —

Away win 72.6% — — —

Over 2.5 79.3% — — —

Over 3.5 61.0% — — —

BTTS 67.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 74%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)3.0 BTTS prob67.6%

A 73% / xG 1.2-3.0 / O2.5 79% / BTTS 68%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 8.1%

#2 1–3 8.0%

#3 0–2 6.5%

#4 0–3 6.5%

#5 1–4 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rahmatgonj1.2

Bashundhara K.3.0

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 79.3% · O3.5 PROB 61.0%

Form & verdict PPG

RAHMATGONJ · PPG 2.17

BASHUNDHARA K. · PPG 1.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.17) > Away GOOD (1.83)

Win probability 1X2

Rahmatgonj (H) 12.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 14.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bashundhara K. (A) 72.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Rahmatgonj face Bashundhara K. on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rahmatgonj a 13% chance, the draw 14% and Bashundhara K. 73%, so Bashundhara K. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Rahmatgonj and 3.0 for Bashundhara K. (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 68% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rahmatgonj are averaging 2.17 points per game versus 1.83 for Bashundhara K.. This match finished 1-1.

Rahmatgonj vs Bashundhara K. Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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