Today / B. Police vs Abahani

B. Police vs Abahani Prediction

Regular Season - 13 ·Friday, April 17, 2026, 09:30

B. Police

PPG 1.17 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Abahani

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.17) vs Away GOOD (1.50)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.3%0-116.8%0-213.6%0-37.3%0-4+4.3%1 1-06.7%1-110.9%1-28.8%1-34.8%1-4+2.8%2 2-02.2%2-13.5%2-22.9%2-31.5%2-4+0.9%3 3-00.5%3-10.8%3-20.6%3-30.3%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 14.7% — — —

Draw 24.4% — — —

Away win 60.9% — — —

Over 2.5 39.6% — — —

Over 3.5 19.4% — — —

BTTS 38.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 56%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob38.3%

A 61% / xG 0.6-1.6 / U2.5 40% / NoBTTS 38%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 16.8%

#2 0–2 13.6%

#3 1–1 10.9%

#4 0–0 10.3%

#5 1–2 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

B. Police0.6

Abahani1.6

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 39.6% · O3.5 PROB 19.4%

Form & verdict PPG

B. POLICE · PPG 1.17

ABAHANI · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.17) vs Away GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

B. Police (H) 14.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Abahani (A) 60.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

B. Police face Abahani on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives B. Police a 15% chance, the draw 24% and Abahani 61%, so Abahani are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for B. Police and 1.6 for Abahani (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 38% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, B. Police are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 1.50 for Abahani. This match finished 1-3.

B. Police vs Abahani Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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