Dandenong City vs Green Gully Prediction— Australia - Victoria NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

Dandenong City face Green Gully in Australia - Victoria NPL on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dandenong City a 70% chance, the draw 19% and Green Gully 11%, so Dandenong City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Dandenong City and 0.7 for Green Gully (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dandenong City are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 0.40 for Green Gully. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +42.7%. This match finished 2-1.