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Rudar Prijedor vs Posusje Prediction— Bosnia - Premijer Liga

Regular Season - 32 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 14:00

Rudar Prijedor

PPG 1.00 · HOME

3 – 2

FULL TIME

Posusje

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.6%0-113.7%0-26.4%0-32.0%0-4+0.6%1 1-014.4%1-113.5%1-26.3%1-32.0%1-4+0.6%2 2-07.1%2-16.7%2-23.1%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-02.3%3-12.2%3-21.0%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.7%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 33.5% 44.4% 2.25 -24.6%

Draw 35.6% 33.3% 3.00 +6.8%

Away win 30.9% 32.3% 3.10 -4.2%

Over 2.5 30.2% 40.0% 2.50 -24.5%

Over 3.5 12.9% 21.1% 4.75 -38.7%

BTTS 40.1% 48.8% 2.05 -17.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 57%

ROI -11.0%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 65%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob40.1%

D 36% / xG 1.0-0.9 / U2.5 30% / NoBTTS 40%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.6%

#2 1–1 13.5%

#3 1–0 14.4%

#4 0–1 13.7%

#5 2–0 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rudar Prijedor1.0

Posusje0.9

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 30.2% · O3.5 PROB 12.9%

Form & verdict PPG

RUDAR PRIJEDOR · PPG 1.00

POSUSJE · PPG 0.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away POOR (0.80)

Win probability 1X2

Rudar Prijedor (H) 33.5%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -24.6%

Draw 35.6%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV +6.8%

Posusje (A) 30.9%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -4.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Rudar Prijedor face Posusje in Bosnia - Premijer Liga on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rudar Prijedor a 34% chance, the draw 36% and Posusje 31%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 1.0 for Rudar Prijedor and 0.9 for Posusje (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 30% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rudar Prijedor are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.80 for Posusje. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +6.8%. This match finished 3-2.

Rudar Prijedor vs Posusje Prediction— Bosnia - Premijer Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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