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St. Polten vs Admira Wacker Prediction— Austria - 2. Liga

Regular Season - 28 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 18:00

St. Polten

PPG 2.38 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Admira Wacker

PPG 1.62 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 56.5% vs bookmaker-implied 58.8%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.8%0-18.7%0-25.6%0-32.4%0-4+1.0%1 1-09.5%1-112.2%1-27.9%1-33.4%1-4+1.5%2 2-06.7%2-18.6%2-25.5%2-32.4%2-4+1.0%3 3-03.1%3-14.0%3-22.6%3-31.1%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-11.9%4+-21.2%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.9% 40.8% 2.45 -7.1%

Draw 29.5% 30.3% 3.30 -2.6%

Away win 32.7% 38.2% 2.62 -14.3%

Over 2.5 50.5% 51.3% 1.95 -1.5%

Over 3.5 28.4% 29.4% 3.40 -3.4%

BTTS 56.5% 58.8% 1.70 -4.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 56%

ROI -31.5%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 35%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob56.5%

D 30% / xG 1.4-1.3 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.2%

#2 0–0✓ 6.8%

#3 2–1 8.6%

#4 1–2 7.9%

#5 1–0 9.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

St. Polten1.4

Admira Wacker1.3

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.5% · O3.5 PROB 28.4%

Form & verdict PPG

ST. POLTEN · PPG 2.38

ADMIRA WACKER · PPG 1.62

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.38) > Away GOOD (1.62)

Win probability 1X2

St. Polten (H) 37.9%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV -7.1%

Draw 29.5%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -2.6%

Admira Wacker (A) 32.7%

ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV -14.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

St. Polten face Admira Wacker in Austria - 2. Liga on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives St. Polten a 38% chance, the draw 30% and Admira Wacker 33%, so St. Polten are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for St. Polten and 1.3 for Admira Wacker (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, St. Polten are averaging 2.38 points per game versus 1.62 for Admira Wacker. This match finished 0-0.

St. Polten vs Admira Wacker Prediction— Austria - 2. Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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