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Dinamo Tirana vs Egnatia R. Prediction— Albania - Superliga

Regular Season - 34 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 14:00

Dinamo Tirana

PPG 1.50 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

Egnatia R.

PPG 1.56 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.4%0-112.4%0-25.7%0-31.8%0-4+0.5%1 1-014.5%1-113.4%1-26.2%1-31.9%1-4+0.5%2 2-07.9%2-17.3%2-23.4%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-02.9%3-12.6%3-21.2%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-10.9%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.8% — — —

Draw 34.7% — — —

Away win 28.5% — — —

Over 2.5 32.6% — — —

Over 3.5 14.5% — — —

BTTS 42.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 36%

O2.5 40%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -61.7%

Bet Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 62%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob42.0%

D 35% / xG 1.1-0.9 / U2.5 33% / NoBTTS 42%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.4%

#2 0–0 13.4%

#3 1–0 14.5%

#4 0–1 12.4%

#5 2–0✓ 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dinamo Tirana1.1

Egnatia R.0.9

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 32.6% · O3.5 PROB 14.5%

Form & verdict PPG

DINAMO TIRANA · PPG 1.50

EGNATIA R. · PPG 1.56

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away GOOD (1.56)

Win probability 1X2

Dinamo Tirana (H) 36.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 34.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Egnatia R. (A) 28.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Dinamo Tirana face Egnatia R. in Albania - Superliga on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dinamo Tirana a 37% chance, the draw 35% and Egnatia R. 28%, so Dinamo Tirana are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Dinamo Tirana and 0.9 for Egnatia R. (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dinamo Tirana are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.56 for Egnatia R.. This match finished 2-0.

Dinamo Tirana vs Egnatia R. Prediction— Albania - Superliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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