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Wycombe vs Rotherham Prediction— England - League One

Matchday 46 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 14:00

Wycombe

PPG 1.77 · HOME

LAST 5

LDLLW

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Rotherham

PPG 0.64 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWLDL

// Model verdict

Home 65% chance

Model probability 54.1% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.4%0-16.7%0-23.1%0-30.9%0-4+0.3%1 1-012.5%1-111.4%1-25.2%1-31.6%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.6%2-19.7%2-24.4%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-06.0%3-15.5%3-22.5%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-03.7%4+-13.4%4+-21.5%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 54.1% 69.4% 1.44 -22.1%

Draw 27.4% 23.3% 4.30 +17.8%

Away win 18.4% 14.3% 7.00 +28.8%

Over 2.5 48.3% 59.9% 1.67 -19.3%

Over 3.5 26.5% 37.7% 2.65 -29.8%

BTTS 50.5% 56.5% 1.77 -10.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 47%

Score Hit 34%

ROI -51.6%

Bet Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 29%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob50.5%

H 54% / xG 1.7-0.9 / O2.5 48% / BTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.4%

#2 1–0 12.5%

#3 2–0 10.6%

#4 2–1 9.7%

#5 0–0 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wycombe1.7

Rotherham0.9

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.3% · O3.5 PROB 26.5%

Form & verdict PPG

WYCOMBE · PPG 1.77

ROTHERHAM · PPG 0.64

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

Chance this pick lands

65%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.77) vs P(Home)=54.1%

Win probability 1X2

Wycombe (H) 54.1%

ODDS 1.44 · IMPLIED 69.4% EV -22.1%

Draw 27.4%

ODDS 4.30 · IMPLIED 23.3% EV +17.8%

Rotherham (A) 18.4%

ODDS 7.00 · IMPLIED 14.3% EV +28.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Wycombe face Rotherham in England - League One on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wycombe a 54% chance, the draw 27% and Rotherham 18%, so Wycombe are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Wycombe and 0.9 for Rotherham (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wycombe are averaging 1.77 points per game versus 0.64 for Rotherham. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +28.8%. This match finished 3-2.

Wycombe vs Rotherham Prediction— England - League One

Match Preview & Prediction

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