Today / Juchen-G. vs Meerbusch

Juchen-G. vs Meerbusch Prediction

Niederrhein - 28 ·Friday, April 17, 2026, 18:00

Juchen-G.

PPG 1.93 · HOME

0 – 4

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Meerbusch

PPG 1.08 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.93) vs P(Home)=56.2%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.2%0-17.3%0-22.9%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-014.6%1-111.6%1-24.7%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.6%2-19.3%2-23.7%2-31.0%2-4+0.2%3 3-06.2%3-14.9%3-22.0%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-03.5%4+-12.8%4+-21.1%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 56.2% — — —

Draw 25.1% — — —

Away win 18.8% — — —

Over 2.5 42.8% — — —

Over 3.5 21.9% — — —

BTTS 43.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 42%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-4

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob43.8%

H 56% / xG 1.6-0.8 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 14.6%

#2 1–1 11.6%

#3 2–0 11.6%

#4 2–1 9.3%

#5 0–0 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Juchen-G.1.6

Meerbusch0.8

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.8% · O3.5 PROB 21.9%

Form & verdict PPG

JUCHEN-G. · PPG 1.93

MEERBUSCH · PPG 1.08

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.93) vs P(Home)=56.2%

Win probability 1X2

Juchen-G. (H) 56.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Meerbusch (A) 18.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Juchen-G. face Meerbusch on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Juchen-G. a 56% chance, the draw 25% and Meerbusch 19%, so Juchen-G. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Juchen-G. and 0.8 for Meerbusch (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Juchen-G. are averaging 1.93 points per game versus 1.08 for Meerbusch. This match finished 0-4.

Juchen-G. vs Meerbusch Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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