Selangor vs Pulau Pinang Prediction— Malaysia - Super League

Malaysia - Super League Regular Season - 24 MBPJ Stadium· Petaling Jaya Saturday, May 2, 2026 13:00

Selangor PPG 2.30

4-0 MISS

Pulau Pinang PPG 1.10

Draw· +0.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Selangor face Pulau Pinang in Malaysia - Super League on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Selangor a 65% chance, the draw 22% and Pulau Pinang 13%, so Selangor are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Selangor and 0.9 for Pulau Pinang (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Selangor are averaging 2.30 points per game versus 1.10 for Pulau Pinang. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +0.7%. This match finished 4-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 65.4%

Odds: 1.33 EV: -13.0%

Draw 21.9%

Odds: 4.60 EV: +0.7%

Away 12.7%

Odds: 7.80 EV: -0.9%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 58.5% Odds: 1.53 -10.5%

Over 3.5 36.1% Odds: 2.30 -17.0%

BTTS 53.0% Odds: 1.70 -9.9%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 3-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Selangor

2.16

Pulau Pinang

0.88

Model SuggestionHome -13.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -13.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Draw (+0.7%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.30), Away AVERAGE (1.10) - Strong consensus