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Selangor vs Pulau Pinang Prediction— Malaysia - Super League

Regular Season - 24 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 13:00

Selangor

PPG 2.30 · HOME

4 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Pulau Pinang

PPG 1.10 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 65.4% vs bookmaker-implied 75.2%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.8%0-14.2%0-21.8%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-010.4%1-19.1%1-24.0%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.2%2-19.8%2-24.3%2-31.3%2-4+0.3%3 3-08.0%3-17.1%3-23.1%3-30.9%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-07.2%4+-16.3%4+-22.8%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 65.4% 75.2% 1.33 -13.0%

Draw 21.9% 21.7% 4.60 +0.7%

Away win 12.7% 12.8% 7.80 -0.9%

Over 2.5 58.5% 65.4% 1.53 -10.5%

Over 3.5 36.1% 43.5% 2.30 -17.0%

BTTS 53.0% 58.8% 1.70 -9.9%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -1.2%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-0

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob53.0%

H 65% / xG 2.2-0.9 / O2.5 58% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 11.2%

#2 1–1 9.1%

#3 2–1 9.8%

#4 1–0 10.4%

#5 3–0 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Selangor2.2

Pulau Pinang0.9

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 58.5% · O3.5 PROB 36.1%

Form & verdict PPG

SELANGOR · PPG 2.30

PULAU PINANG · PPG 1.10

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.30), Away AVERAGE (1.10) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Selangor (H) 65.4%

ODDS 1.33 · IMPLIED 75.2% EV -13.0%

Draw 21.9%

ODDS 4.60 · IMPLIED 21.7% EV +0.7%

Pulau Pinang (A) 12.7%

ODDS 7.80 · IMPLIED 12.8% EV -0.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Selangor face Pulau Pinang in Malaysia - Super League on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Selangor a 65% chance, the draw 22% and Pulau Pinang 13%, so Selangor are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Selangor and 0.9 for Pulau Pinang (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Selangor are averaging 2.30 points per game versus 1.10 for Pulau Pinang. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +0.7%. This match finished 4-0.

Selangor vs Pulau Pinang Prediction— Malaysia - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Malaysia - Super League Predictions