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Weidenhausen vs Waldgirmes Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hessen

Hessen - 30 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 13:00

Weidenhausen

PPG 0.93 · HOME

5 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Waldgirmes

PPG 0.93 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.93), Away POOR (0.93)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.8%0-16.4%0-25.4%0-33.0%0-4+1.8%1 1-06.0%1-110.1%1-28.5%1-34.8%1-4+2.9%2 2-04.8%2-18.1%2-26.8%2-33.8%2-4+2.3%3 3-02.5%3-14.3%3-23.6%3-32.0%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-12.4%4+-22.0%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.0% — — —

Draw 26.1% — — —

Away win 38.8% — — —

Over 2.5 63.5% — — —

Over 3.5 41.4% — — —

BTTS 66.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 74%

Score Hit 31%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 45%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-3

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob66.3%

A 39% / xG 1.6-1.7 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 66%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.1%

#2 1–2 8.5%

#3 2–1 8.1%

#4 2–2 6.8%

#5 0–2 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Weidenhausen1.6

Waldgirmes1.7

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.5% · O3.5 PROB 41.4%

Form & verdict PPG

WEIDENHAUSEN · PPG 0.93

WALDGIRMES · PPG 0.93

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.93), Away POOR (0.93)

Win probability 1X2

Weidenhausen (H) 35.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Waldgirmes (A) 38.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Weidenhausen face Waldgirmes in Germany - Oberliga - Hessen on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Weidenhausen a 35% chance, the draw 26% and Waldgirmes 39%, so Waldgirmes are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Weidenhausen and 1.7 for Waldgirmes (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Weidenhausen are averaging 0.93 points per game versus 0.93 for Waldgirmes. This match finished 5-3.

Weidenhausen vs Waldgirmes Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hessen

Match Preview & Prediction

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