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Marburg vs RW Walldorf Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hessen

Hessen - 30 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 13:00

Marburg

PPG 1.21 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

RW Walldorf

PPG 1.29 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.7%0-13.9%0-24.5%0-33.3%0-4+3.2%1 1-03.1%1-17.1%1-28.0%1-36.0%1-4+5.7%2 2-02.8%2-16.3%2-27.1%2-35.4%2-4+5.1%3 3-01.7%3-13.8%3-24.3%3-33.2%3-4+3.1%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-12.5%4+-22.9%4+-32.1%4+-4+2.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.0% — — —

Draw 22.2% — — —

Away win 47.8% — — —

Over 2.5 76.9% — — —

Over 3.5 57.6% — — —

BTTS 75.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 74%

Score Hit 31%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 53%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)2.3 BTTS prob75.6%

A 48% / xG 1.8-2.3 / O2.5 77% / BTTS 76%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.1%

#2 1–2 8.0%

#3 2–2 7.1%

#4 2–1✓ 6.3%

#5 1–3 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Marburg1.8

RW Walldorf2.3

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 76.9% · O3.5 PROB 57.6%

Form & verdict PPG

MARBURG · PPG 1.21

RW WALLDORF · PPG 1.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.21), Away AVERAGE (1.29)

Win probability 1X2

Marburg (H) 30.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

RW Walldorf (A) 47.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Marburg face RW Walldorf in Germany - Oberliga - Hessen on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Marburg a 30% chance, the draw 22% and RW Walldorf 48%, so RW Walldorf are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Marburg and 2.3 for RW Walldorf (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 77% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 76% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Marburg are averaging 1.21 points per game versus 1.29 for RW Walldorf. This match finished 2-1.

Marburg vs RW Walldorf Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hessen

Match Preview & Prediction

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