Today / Germany - Oberliga - Hessen / Hunfelder SV vs Darmstadt B

Hunfelder SV vs Darmstadt B Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hessen

Hessen - 30 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 13:00

Hunfelder SV logo
Hunfelder SV
PPG 1.43 · HOME
1 – 3
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
Darmstadt B logo
Darmstadt B
PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.2%0-13.4%0-22.7%0-31.4%0-4+0.8%1 1-04.9%1-17.7%1-26.0%1-33.2%1-4+1.8%2 2-05.6%2-18.7%2-26.8%2-33.6%2-4+2.0%3 3-04.2%3-16.6%3-25.1%3-32.7%3-4+1.5%4+ 4+-04.0%4+-16.3%4+-24.9%4+-32.6%4+-4+1.4%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 52.2%
Draw 22.4%
Away win 25.4%
Over 2.5 73.5%
Over 3.5 53.2%
BTTS 72.0%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%
O2.5 74%
BTTS 74%
Score Hit 31%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 66%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-3
xG (home)2.3 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob72.0%

H 52% / xG 2.3-1.6 / O2.5 74% / BTTS 72%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.7%
#2 2–1 8.7%
#3 2–2 6.8%
#4 3–1 6.6%
#5 1–2 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hunfelder SV2.3
Darmstadt B1.6

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 73.5% · O3.5 PROB 53.2%

Form & verdict PPG

HUNFELDER SV · PPG 1.43

DARMSTADT B · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.43) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Hunfelder SV (H) 52.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 22.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Darmstadt B (A) 25.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Hunfelder SV face Darmstadt B in Germany - Oberliga - Hessen on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hunfelder SV a 52% chance, the draw 22% and Darmstadt B 25%, so Hunfelder SV are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Hunfelder SV and 1.6 for Darmstadt B (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 72% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hunfelder SV are averaging 1.43 points per game versus 1.00 for Darmstadt B. This match finished 1-3.

PredictVantage

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