Today / Germany - Oberliga - Hessen / Fernwald vs Friedberg
Fernwald vs Friedberg Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hessen
Hessen - 30 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 13:00
// Model verdict
BTTS
Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away AVERAGE (1.23)
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 50% / xG 2.1-1.4 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 68%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.9% · O3.5 PROB 46.4%
Form & verdict
FERNWALD · PPG 1.50
FRIEDBERG · PPG 1.23
Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away AVERAGE (1.23)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Fernwald face Friedberg in Germany - Oberliga - Hessen on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fernwald a 50% chance, the draw 24% and Friedberg 26%, so Fernwald are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Fernwald and 1.4 for Friedberg (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 68% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fernwald are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.23 for Friedberg. This match finished 1-1.