Nantes vs Marseille Prediction & Tips

← Back to picks

France - Ligue 1 Regular Season - 32 Stade de la Beaujoire· Nantes Saturday, May 2, 2026 13:00

Nantes PPG 0.60

3-0 MISS

Marseille PPG 1.27

Draw· +6.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 23.5%

Odds: 4.40 EV: +3.4%

Draw 27.3%

Odds: 3.90 EV: +6.5%

Away 49.2%

Odds: 1.70 EV: -16.4%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 54.2% Odds: 1.65 -10.6%

Over 3.5 31.9% Odds: 2.60 -17.1%

BTTS 57.3% Odds: 1.62 -7.2%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 0-2 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Nantes

1.13

Marseille

1.71

Model SuggestionBTTS -7.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -7.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Draw (+6.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5/Under 62%

BTTS/No 55%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -18.0%

Bet Hit 50% (16 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.27) vs Home POOR (0.60)