Today / Daring B. U21 vs RFC Liege U21

Daring B. U21 vs RFC Liege U21 Prediction

Regular Season - 23 ·Friday, April 17, 2026, 18:00

Daring B. U21 logo
Daring B. U21
PPG 1.91 · HOME
4 – 0
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
RFC Liege U21 logo
RFC Liege U21
PPG 0.30 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.5%0-10.5%0-20.3%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-02.2%1-12.3%1-21.2%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-04.7%2-14.8%2-22.5%2-30.8%2-4+0.3%3 3-06.6%3-16.8%3-23.5%3-31.2%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-021.9%4+-122.3%4+-211.4%4+-33.9%4+-4+1.2%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 89.0%
Draw 6.8%
Away win 4.2%
Over 2.5 89.4%
Over 3.5 76.6%
BTTS 63.0%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 85%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 4-0
xG (home)4.2 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob63.0%

H 89% / xG 4.2-1.0 / O2.5 89% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 4–1 7.1%
#2 4–0 7.0%
#3 3–1 6.8%
#4 3–0 6.6%
#5 5–1 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Daring B. U214.2
RFC Liege U211.0

COMBINED 5.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 89.4% · O3.5 PROB 76.6%

Form & verdict PPG

DARING B. U21 · PPG 1.91

RFC LIEGE U21 · PPG 0.30

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.91), Away POOR (0.30) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Daring B. U21 (H) 89.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 6.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
RFC Liege U21 (A) 4.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Daring B. U21 face RFC Liege U21 on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Daring B. U21 a 89% chance, the draw 7% and RFC Liege U21 4%, so Daring B. U21 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.2 for Daring B. U21 and 1.0 for RFC Liege U21 (5.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-1. There is a 89% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Daring B. U21 are averaging 1.91 points per game versus 0.30 for RFC Liege U21. This match finished 4-0.

PredictVantage

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